2.00 Windsor Gazabalou
I think Gazabalou looks overpriced this morning, and the David Pinder trained gelding could run a big race off this mark of 53.
Last year Gazabalou placed 6 times over 7 and 8 furlongs, but without winning, and was possibly a casualty of his own success staying in the grip of the handicapper for the summer. However Gazabalou placed at Snadown over 8 furlongs off a mark of 67, and was also beaten a neck by The Happy Hammer at Wolves when staying on strongly over 7 furlongs.
This term Gazabalou form figures don’t look great, but I think the 7 year old is certainly running more consistently than the figures suggest. The interesting run was the run at Warwick three starts back off a mark of 62 (watch the replay here). Gazabalou travelled well for the majority of the race and looked to have every chance 2 furlongs out, before the strong travelling Qeethaara cruised into the lead and put the race to bed. Gazabalou’s rider gave the gelding an easy time in the final quarter furlong, distorting the lengths figures. Take the 69 rated Qeethaara out the race and Gazabalou had every chance.
Next run out Gazabalou ran with joint top weight at Wolves over an inadequate 7 furlongs, having to give 3lbs to eventual winner Fortunate bid, who has since come second at Carlise off a mark of 58, losing just a length to 67 rated Boy and the Bell.
Gazabalou’s last run at Sandown over 8 furlongs at Sandown was an apprentice race, and if you watch the replay (watch the replay here), Gazabalou got stuck in behind traffic and tried to find a gap 3 or 4 times before giving up, and the apprentice jockey Mr Rodgers just pushed Gazabalou out towards the line when the race had gone.
Gazabalou is now dropped another 2lbs for that defeat, and could run a big race off a mark of just 53 (carrying 9 2), despite contesting races with horses who have been winning off marks of 67 and 69. The one concern is the draw out in stall 12, but if the jockey can get the gelding into a prominent position early without burning too much early energy, Gazabalou could be in the firing line come the finish line.
There were two other big priced horses in the race that also interested me – Karen George trained Angelina Ballerina looks sure to go well with Seb Sanders on board, who still looks in the form of her life this summer, with excuses for last two runs (inadequate 1m2f run at Chepstow and Amateur riders race last time out) and could run well at 12/1 from a good draw in stall 4. The other horse was the Mick Channon trained Galloping Queen, who runs off a mark off 62 with the jockeys 3lb claim, and is back over a mile after trying 9 furlongs twice.
The Hughie Morrison trained Charlie Fable is the handicap debutant, and may possibly be in on a lenient mark with form lines with the handy Gatewood at this track over 10 furlongs so must be watched in the betting.
However I think Gazabalou is running to a much higher mark than 53 and could hit the front three today at a nice EW price.
Selection: Gazabalou 20/1 1pt EW (Bet with Stan James ) unplaced
Alternative: Angelena Ballerina 12/1 (Bet with Stan James )
3.00 Windsor Toffee Tart 4/1 2pts WIN (Bet with Stan James ) WON
2.45 Deauville Dream Ahead 5/4 2pts WIN (Bet with Boylesports ) unplaced