Robert Plumbridge is back at the Horse Racing Tavern with a selection in the Diomed Stakes on Oaks day at Epsom on Friday!
Sir Mark’s Worth a few quid
As I’ve said many times, the golden principle of betting is finding the value. That is not to say you always have to find 10/1 outsiders- it’s certainly not the case here. For my money the 6/5 favourite in the Diomed Stakes on Friday represents the best value in the race. Worthadd is the clear pick on both the ratings and form over any of these and rightly goes off a shade of odds against. He bids to make it two from two under the guidance of Sir Mark Prescott having won a Group 3 in Baden-Baden 15 days ago. Following that success he has incurred a penalty and is forced to give weight to all-but-one of his rivals. This shouldn’t be a problem with most of these out of form in recent outings, he’s also miles ahead on official ratings and I expect his class to tell. The only slight concern might be the trip having done most of his winning on shorter trips. The fast ground should help with this though, making it an easy 9 furlongs and I don’t think this will be a problem. Sir Mark’s horses are running to form at the moment and if this is the case with Worthadd, I expect to see him win this fairly comfortably.
He only has a handful to beat with just six runners lining up for the Group 3 contest. Ed Vaughan enters his course and distance winner Dance and Dance for another crack in group company. He has yet to run to the form which saw him win at Epsom last year, however a couple of mediocre efforts haven’t put off connections running him in this.
Of the others, Marcret for the Marco Botti yard has the pick of the recent form. He won a Group 3 contest at Chester last time out and has similar credentials to today’s favourite having done most of his winning over in Italy before racing in the UK. He also incurs a penalty for his Group 3 win and saddles the same weight as Worthadd. At 8/1, he’s definitely got each-way credentials. For the winner, however, I return to Worthadd who should see these rivals off if running his race.
Selection: Worthadd WIN 6/5 (Bet with BetVictor)
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